Currently only about one per cent of our fuels for transportation come from renewable sources. We use 86 million barrels of oil every DAY and we have passed the global peak in oil production.

Still people, regardless of political back-ground, training, or other social and individual characteristics, act as if our future is not worth fighting for. The problem will not go away if we ignore it. It will only get worse the later we start to act to transform energy related systems on a large scale.

Who can we blame when the economy starts to decline due to decreasing supplies of energy? At that point we will need several years of struggle to develop the renewable fuels systems that we will desperately need, and this will have to be done in a very hostile economic environment.

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We are increasingly falling behind and even people who understand this usually do not understand that we can do something about it. We need to drive energy systems transformation in a planned and managed fashion. This is the only possible and economically efficient way.

The big problem is the global peak in oil production, “Peak Oil,” which threatens our economy and our whole way of life.

Doing nothing to inform decision makers about the need to develop strategies and plans to coordinate change efforts is not a good alternative. We need to start to debate the need for change, and which activities we need to initiate short term. One of the first needs to be the development of strategies and plans to drive change forward.

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- It seems as if people primarily learn collectively. Informing single individuals about Peak Oil or climate change and the need to reduce our dependence on oil is not likely to make them change. It is not until we start to debate the need for large scale energy systems transformation that people feel the urgency to change.

- Even if we know that we need to change in principle we may not know which exact details in our lives we can change. Telling people we need to change will not create a result. We need together to work out exactly what we can do differently, and start with the things that really matter. Most important at present is to contribute to systems change. Reducing your own oil use will have little effect, but getting one hundred or one thousand people to change theirs in a productive way is also likely to start a snow-ball effect.

- The capacity of existing systems based on renewable fuels or electric cars etc is often very limited. We need to expand these systems and make them easy to use and increasingly attractive. This can be done either incrementally by reacting to market signals, or it may be done based on national or regional strategies to transform energy systems on a large scale. The market based alternative is likely to be slow and costly, because investments in systems expansion need to be coordinated between several players. Even if we believe that market based action is more efficient, it is not the case in this case. Having too little fuel for transportation, due to “Peak Oil” is likely to lead to recession and depression that most people are likely to consider to be more costly than to invest in systems for renewable fuels and electric vehicles to avoid a large scale economic crash.

We need to drive change by developing strategies and plans for large scale energy systems transformation. Individual action will come too late and be insufficient from a number of perspectives.

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There is a need for large-scale investments in order to accelerate Global Energy Transformation and replace oil and old technologies on a large scale. This will require the dedication of large financial resources by large companies and governments.

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Peak Oil means that oil will get scarce and the whole economy, and our well being in society, are threatened by reduced production. We will not be able to maintain a global economy, economic growth, and improved living conditions for people.

We need to say instead: “We need to find a solution to Peak Oil even if it will have a very high cost to society, short term.” This is the only way we can secure the well being of ourselves and our children both short and long term. Peak Oil is a more serious threat to our economy and to ourselves than climate change will be, and Peak Oil will lead to reduced carbon-dioxide emissions over the coming years anyway. We will not be able to build plants to make oil from coal at the rate necessary to make up for the reduced oil production.

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We all need to do more than anyone could reasonably expect an individual to do in order to inform and debate Peak Oil and its consequences. Nobody else will do it! The world needs YOUR voice in this.

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Even if this is not yet the official explanation of the development in the global financial markets, this is likely to become an increasing factor behind future re-evaluations in stock markets and other financial markets.

When investors make these calculations they are bound to realize that the global community is far behind in developing the necessary volumes of renewable energy.

We need strategies, plans, and national and international change programs in order to cope with the situation that is now evolving.

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Few people even mention the impact that the global peak in oil production will have on the global economy. Once the financial markets realize that we face a permanent decline in the oil supply they will start to factor in this into their growth projections for the future. This situation will be very different from the oil crises of the 1970′s and 1980′s.

In those days the west could negotiate with OPEC to persuade the oil producers to once more increase production and promise to buy the increased volumes at a higher prices. In the years to come we cannot persuade OPEC or any other producer to increase production. The only way to get rid of the problem will be to increase the volumes of renewable fuels and also increase our ability to use increasing volumes for transportation by purchasing more biofuel and electric cars and trucks.

This is something we cannot get away from, however much we hate to face the most important issue related to financial development and economic growth at present.

In order to develop large new production resources for renewable fuels, and large fleets of renewable fuel vehicles we need large scale programs for energy systems transformation.

Global Energy Transformation is not an option, but a necessity!

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Investors in global markets will realize this, and they will evaluate the prospects for future economic growth accordingly. Normally, it takes decades to develop and introduce new technologies on a large scale, and investors will realize this, and this will likely lead to a financial crisis.

The only way to reduce the impact of such a crisis will be to develop large scale programs for the introduction of renewable fuels and technology and systems that reduce our dependence on oil for transportation. If we do this in a way that will convince investors there is a possibility that the financial crisis will only be temporary. In the absence of large scale efforts to reduce our dependence on oil, investors will see a very bleak future, and the value of stock markets and currencies is likely to plummet.

Governments need to act decisively in order to reduce the risk of this type of development.

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I’m currently working on putting together project teams that aim at establishing such platforms in Sweden.

We have found a great interest among leading players in the relevant industries to participate in platform projects.

If you want more information – please contact me.

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